Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 7.114975 8.359366 9.725948 11.333864 13.169503 15.195205 17.595145
2025-12-28 5.246215 6.973617 9.075568 11.800106 15.214342 19.325656 24.622332
2026-01-04 4.112319 6.037524 8.578633 12.128516 16.901263 23.030627 31.420317
2026-01-11 3.275260 5.241854 8.024896 12.165124 18.063720 26.044104 37.507586
2026-01-18 2.677736 4.631222 7.572275 12.194660 19.116471 28.903589 43.541270
2026-01-25 2.153077 4.011191 6.977711 11.885371 19.578773 30.901375 48.460255
2026-02-01 1.751489 3.502700 6.457632 11.584717 19.966883 32.759157 53.252672
2026-02-08 1.403975 3.013072 5.880369 11.091198 19.960621 33.970894 57.112366
2026-02-15 1.144431 2.629428 5.417201 10.709761 20.063155 35.314981 61.221541
2026-02-22 1.022091 2.488559 5.365095 11.028361 21.351277 38.626178 68.641172
2026-03-01 0.919894 2.368105 5.330133 11.365010 22.687624 42.096177 76.528805
2026-03-08 0.763623 2.096048 4.954332 11.007304 22.736238 43.383735 80.865007
2026-03-15 0.622696 1.837371 4.585312 10.657677 22.845280 44.926310 86.009347
2026-03-22 0.566920 1.776255 4.634195 11.171719 24.669068 49.690335 97.160994
2026-03-29 0.504884 1.683552 4.596837 11.499360 26.162114 53.974796 107.775584
2026-04-05 0.434590 1.548973 4.437293 11.537165 27.071475 57.241908 116.774797
2026-04-12 0.374749 1.427104 4.284981 11.565927 27.956516 60.517646 125.993549
2026-04-19 0.309906 1.269464 4.011222 11.270755 28.117211 62.394691 132.707201
2026-04-26 0.256435 1.130583 3.758001 10.983780 28.256069 64.223685 139.429436
2026-05-03 0.206048 0.983653 3.450739 10.512779 27.924604 65.064864 144.271624
2026-05-10 0.167733 0.866090 3.201441 10.148829 27.790680 66.286440 149.922366
2026-05-17 0.152339 0.833955 3.203377 10.452818 29.258545 70.969577 162.802418
2026-05-24 0.138931 0.805461 3.211321 10.774086 30.797197 75.904367 176.473117